Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 4.593507e-01 6.112632e-01 0.785986 0.998754 1.247832 1.527317 1.861729
2025-04-20 2.524073e-01 4.307124e-01 0.668076 0.992806 1.411531 1.920232 2.571698
2025-04-27 1.375795e-01 3.119755e-01 0.582681 0.995489 1.573343 2.320784 3.327562
2025-05-04 6.521406e-02 2.132990e-01 0.488047 0.956388 1.664638 2.632868 3.993629
2025-05-11 2.693018e-02 1.431292e-01 0.408049 0.913491 1.734749 2.913314 4.629971
2025-05-18 1.103699e-02 1.045406e-01 0.366500 0.918200 1.868459 3.284331 5.402525
2025-05-25 2.850111e-03 6.973772e-02 0.313501 0.886720 1.935670 3.558013 6.048568
2025-06-01 8.742595e-04 5.732556e-02 0.307819 0.941752 2.146651 4.052717 7.023825
2025-06-08 5.935919e-05 4.116453e-02 0.280651 0.945203 2.266587 4.412119 7.814888
2025-06-15 7.628565e-07 3.628939e-02 0.287191 1.021975 2.520336 4.988078 8.938454
2025-06-22 NaN 2.945955e-02 0.281495 1.068704 2.721357 5.487384 9.961613
2025-06-29 NaN 2.201149e-02 0.266277 1.088702 2.872415 5.910937 10.881668
2025-07-06 NaN 1.328281e-02 0.233409 1.058470 2.928761 6.190025 11.604135
2025-07-13 NaN 8.841700e-03 0.217371 1.068755 3.064401 6.604743 12.545338
2025-07-20 NaN 5.687042e-03 0.203142 1.080248 3.202210 7.027118 13.508226
2025-07-27 NaN 2.596384e-03 0.175607 1.043308 3.235467 7.272103 14.200818
2025-08-03 NaN 8.802486e-04 0.149225 1.000004 3.248992 7.481059 14.839709
2025-08-10 NaN 3.464597e-04 0.138327 1.006185 3.369772 7.879990 15.786958
2025-08-17 NaN 4.180788e-05 0.118910 0.973260 3.398677 8.115689 16.477157
2025-08-24 NaN 1.892707e-05 0.122313 1.032196 3.642512 8.743197 17.809491
2025-08-31 NaN 1.003484e-07 0.113169 1.036039 3.757223 9.139961 18.774941
2025-09-07 NaN 3.734171e-08 0.121427 1.117806 4.061146 9.888059 20.322944
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.122467 1.167515 4.290433 10.504333 21.664495